Visit ArabTopics.com

Trump isn’t going to Invade Venezuela, but what he’s planning might be just as bad

Trump was more aggressive than usual yesterday when he said that he’s not ruling out a “military option” in Venezuela, and the international media went haywire speculating that the President was considering an invasion. Nothing justifies what Trump said, but taking aside all moral considerations, his statement shouldn’t have been surprising, and interestingly enough, it might even backfire on him.

All US Presidents routinely restate the rhetoric that “all options are on the table” when dealing with the crises that their country provoked abroad, which in this case is the Hybrid War on Venezuela that seeks to attain proxy control over the world’s largest oil reserves in the Orinoco River Belt and smash the socialist-multipolar ALBA grouping.

Venezuela’s preexisting socio-political vulnerabilities and institutional weaknesses were exploited by the US’ economic machinations against the country in order to trigger a Color Revolution against the government. When that failed, the regime change movement transformed into an urban insurgency and recently expanded its operations by staging a terrorist attack against a military base in the central part of the country.

It’s very likely that the situation will devolve into an externally triggered “civil war” with the eventual intent of sparking a military coup attempt against President Maduro, but the odds of the US directly intervening in this scenario are slim. Rather, Trump’s threatened “military option” probably relates to the “Lead From Behind” role that the US is slated to play in using Colombia as its regional partner for funneling weapons and other forms of assistance to the “moderate rebels” in Venezuela just as it used Turkey to do vis-a-vis Syria for the past six years.

Additionally, it can be confidently assumed that the CIA is hard at work trying to engineer its desired military coup, though the chances of its success are unlikely unless the Hybrid War becomes a full-fledged externally triggered “civil war” like in Syria. These two interconnected reasons explain what Trump meant by refusing to rule out a “military option”, though there’s admittedly the extreme case that can’t be discounted whereby a “humanitarian intervention” of varying scale is unleashed in the final stages of the crisis in order to decisively topple the government at its weakest moment.

No matter what the US ultimately does or doesn’t do, however, Trump’s braggadocious statement might actually backfire on him by increasing President Maduro’s appeal among the on-the-fence members of the so-called “opposition”. It’s one thing to detest an elected leader and hope for his downfall, but it’s another to actively support the foreign invasion of one’s country by the hemisphere’s traditional hegemon, especially given the US’ bloody history of military activity in the Americas across the past century.

Trump’s comments therefore put the US’ regime change proxies in a bind because they’re now caught in a dilemma between supporting what the world at large perceives to be a threat to invade their country or to support its legitimate leader whom they’ve been rioting against for months already. The average anti-government supporter can be presumed to be equally against Maduro, a speculated US invasion of their country, and the “opposition’s” riots, wanting only to hold snap elections in the hope of peacefully carrying out regime change.

They’ve been backing the “opposition” up until this point, however, because they saw them as the “least-bad” option available, but Trump’s implied military threat essentially exposes them in acting as the tip of the spear in a possible invasion, seeing as how the chaotic “civil war” conditions in which the US could conventionally intervene in Venezuela would be due to their intensified Hybrid War actions.

This fact should rightly give pause to self-identifying “patriotic opposition” members and prompt them to reconsider their “least-bad” normative assessment that they previously gave to the “opposition”. If they engage in some serious self-reflection, they’ll see that it’s actually President Maduro who’s the “least bad” of the two, and that the best way to achieve their objective of regime change is to begrudgingly wait until the next democratic vote is scheduled to be held.

Continuing to throw one’s weight behind the “opposition” at this point is tantamount to openly supporting the steps that are needed to create the conditions for Trump’s media-hyped “military options” against their country, up to and including a “humanitarian intervention”. It’s not known what proportion of the “opposition” satisfies the “patriotic” criteria that these points would apply to, but if their numbers are large enough, then their passive “defection” from the anti-government movement’s ranks in response to Trump’s threat could deal a blow to the regime change effort.

On the other hand, and approaching the subject from a cynical angle as the “devil’s advocate”, it might not tangibly change much at all if the US already has its mind dead-set on escalating the Hybrid War on Venezuela to a Syrian-like level, though it would nevertheless represent an important moral victory for the legitimate government by further exposing the “‘opposition’s” treasonous connivance with the US. In any case, regardless of what Trump really meant in his “military options” comment and despite whatever the “patriotic opposition” members decide to do, all indications suggest that Venezuela is at a fateful turning point and that the coming weeks will decide its future for what might end up being the years to come.

DISCLAIMER: The author writes for this publication in a private capacity which is unrepresentative of anyone or any organization except for his own personal views. Nothing written by the author should ever be conflated with the editorial views or official positions of any other media outlet or institution.

The post Trump isn’t going to Invade Venezuela, but what he’s planning might be just as bad appeared first on The Duran.

Source: 
The Duran

Support this site

News Sources

Source Items
The Real News 91
Scrutinised Minds 11
Need To Know News 319
FEE 946
Marine Le Pen 92
Francois Asselineau 25
Opassande 50
HAX on 5July 220
Henrik Alexandersson 342
Mohamed Omar 103
Professors Blog 10
Arg Blatte Talar 34
Angry Foreigner 13
Fritte Fritzson 11
Teologiska rummet 25
Filosofiska rummet 32
Vetenskapsradion Historia 43
Snedtänkt (Kalle Lind) 123
Les Crises 582
Richard Falk 41
Ian Sinclair 35
SpinWatch 25
Counter Currents 1896
Kafila 180
Gail Malone 21
Transnational Foundation 157
Rick Falkvinge 46
The Duran 3198
Vanessa Beeley 65
Nina Kouprianova 9
MintPress 2109
Paul Craig Roberts 505
News Junkie Post 37
Nomi Prins 14
Kurt Nimmo 189
Strategic Culture 1383
Sir Ken Robinson 12
Stephan Kinsella 26
Liberty Blitzkrieg 615
Sami Bedouin 59
Consortium News 1418
21 Century Wire 1985
Burning Blogger 216
Stephen Gowans 44
David D. Friedman 95
Anarchist Standard 16
The BRICS Post 1192
Tom Dispatch 248
Levant Report 17
The Saker 2094
The Barnes Review 347
John Friend 267
Psyche Truth 137
Jonathan Cook 112
New Eastern Outlook 2057
School Sucks Project 1045
Giza Death Star 974
Andrew Gavin Marshall 15
Red Ice Radio 502
GMWatch 1142
Robert Faurisson 104
Espionage History Archive 33
Jay's Analysis 462
Le 4ème singe 62
Jacob Cohen 142
Agora Vox 4945
Cercle Des Volontaires 336
Panamza 926
Fairewinds 92
Project Censored 461
Spy Culture 230
Conspiracy Archive 49
Crystal Clark 11
Timothy Kelly 267
PINAC 1341
The Conscious Resistance 368
Independent Science News 52
The Anti Media 3517
Positive News 676
Brandon Martinez 30
Steven Chovanec 47
Lionel 224
The Mind renewed 181
Natural Society 2362
Yanis Varoufakis 550
Tragedy & Hope 102
Dr. Tim Ball 50
Web of Debt 105
Porkins Policy Review 230
Conspiracy Watch 174
Eva Bartlett 478
Libyan War Truth 236
DeadLine Live 1845
Kevin Ryan 55
BSNEWS 1727
Aaron Franz 146
Traces of Reality 166
Revelations Radio News 101
Dr. Bruce Levine 89
Peter B Collins 1012
Faux Capitalism 197
Dissident Voice 7567
Climate Audit 194
Donna Laframboise 232
Judith Curry 952
Geneva Business Insider 40
Media Monarchy 1409
Newsbud 2070
Syria Report 70
Human Rights Investigation 81
Intifada (Voice of Palestine) 1685
Down With Tyranny 7546
Laura Wells Solutions 15
Video Rebel's Blog 390
Revisionist Review 450
Aletho News 13902
ضد العولمة 27
Penny for your thoughts 2103
Northerntruthseeker 1577
كساريات 37
Color Revolutions and Geopolitics 27
Stop Nato 4349
AntiWar.com Blog 2098
AntiWar.com Original Content 4850
Corbett Report 1711
Stop Imperialism 491
Land Destroyer 957
Webster Tarpley Website 638

Compiled Feeds

Public Lists

Title Visibility
Funny Public