SAGE's claim that the Indian variant could mean 10,000 hospital admissions a day in mid-July assumes that between 30% and 60% of the U.K. population could become infected with the new variant in a single week. Yeah, right.
We've taken a look at the new modelling from Imperial, Warwick and LSHTM that led to headlines earlier this week saying SAGE was no longer predicting an apocalyptic 'third wave'. Unfortunately, it's not all good news.
The post Not So SAGE After All: A Review of the Latest Models appeared first on Lockdown Sceptics.
Glen Bishop has analysed a paper produced by one of the SAGE modelling teams and discovered an interesting fact: it tacitly endorsed the approach recommended in the Great Barrington Declaration.
