Gaius Publius

by Thomas NeuburgerAs a companion to this piece, "A Way-Too-Early Handicapping of the 2020 Presidential Race," I'd like to offer a look at Allan Lichtman's famous 13 keys to the White House and see where the contest stands at this early date.

A cigarette, martini, a staircase and Bette Davis — the 2020 election in a nutshellby Thomas NeuburgerThere are two groups of candidates in the Democratic candidate field. The first group contains people like Bernie Sanders. The second group contains all other candidates whom corporate Democratic power brokers will find acceptable. That makes handicapping this field pretty easy, at least so far. Note that it's very early days still, so this is a way-too-early set of predictions.

Herman Goering on trial in Nuremberg, 1946 (source)Slobodan Milošević on trial in The Hague, 1999 (source

World CO2 emissions are growing, not falling. What will the children say? (source)by Thomas NeuburgerModern America is a tense place these days.

Economic growth and global warming, Figure 1 from a paper studying "Global non­linear effect of temperature on economic production" (link below). "Non-linear" in this case means "at what warming point do economies tend to 'fall off a cliff'"? It's not the same point for all economies, but the non-linearity is obvious. (For conversion in charts a, b, and c, 20°C = 68°F, and 30°C = 86°F.

by Thomas NeuburgerI've written in the past about "twin tsunamis" approaching the U.S.

Medicare For All is wildly popular.

Prescription drug prices in the U.S. are universally hated (source).

Starbucks being non-politicalby Thomas NeuburgerSomething to notice at the periphery of the Democratic Party festival of ghouls and delights known as the 2020 primary campaign.

Medicare For All supporters hold signs during an event on healthcare September 13, 2017 on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C.