by Judith Curry
A few things that caught my eye this past week.
Attributing high impact extreme events across timescales — a case study of four different events. [link]
Increasing coupling of Pacific dynamics leads to prolonged marine heat waves [link]
Detection of continental-scale intensification of hourly rainfall extreme [link]
Heatwaves in Northern Europe as much as ‘five times’ as likely due to climate change, scientists say [link]
Contiguous US summer maximum temperature and heat stress trends [link]
Behind the veil of extreme event attribution [link]
New paper on climate sensitivity suggests that changing patterns of future warming raise Otto-et-al-style instrumentally-based sensitivity estimates from 1.9C to 3.2C: [link]
Extratropical atmospheric predictability from the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation in subseasonal forecast models [link] …
Impact of arctic oscillation on Indian winter monsoon [link]
“Science insurgents plot a climate model driven by artificial intelligence” [link]
he Arctic is getting warmer but Siberia is getting colder. The stratosphere may be to blame. [link]
Recent poleward shift of tropical cyclone formation linked to Hadley cell expansion [link]
Distinct mechanisms govern ocean heat transport into the Arctic under internal variability and climate change. AMOC–ocean heat transport relationship depends on whether variability is internal or forced [link]
New research on Caribbean lizards suggests that hurricanes Maria and Irma could have driven natural selection: [link]
Importance of stratosphere-troposphere coupling for Barents-Kara sea ice loss forcing the cold anomaly over Siberia. [link] …
54% Of ‘Vulnerable’ SW Pacific Islands Studied Had Shorelines That EXPANDED From 2005-2015 [link]
Greenhouse gases are warming the world—but chilling Antarctica. Here’s why [link]
How Predictable Are the Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillations? [link] …
High ocean temperatures in the western tropical Pacific Ocean played a central role to establish and maintain the US #winddrought in 2015 [link]
Improved Teleconnection‐Based Dynamical Seasonal Predictions of Boreal Winter [link]
“What the fuck is the Meghalayan?” @TheAtlantic on divisions among geologists over the Anthropocene [link]
Human “fingerprints” in planet’s changing seasons. [link]
Trends and drivers of normalized continental US #hurricane damage [link]
Sluggish Atlantic circulation could cause global temperatures to surge. [link]
120,000 year record of sea ice in the North Atlantic [link]
The paradigm shift in Antarctic ice sheet modeling [link]
Volcanic eruptions interact with El Nino events, affecting sustained megadrought [link]