This ad the Sunrise Movement just released to assist Mike Siegel win TX-10 from Trump appendage Michael McCaul, is going to be part of the visual history of the 2020 election-- and one of the best ads of the year. The brand new polling released yesterday show Mike and McCaul tied. Hopefully the Sunrise Movement ad will help enthuse more voters to get out and support Mike. Although... Travis County, the biggest in Mike's district, doesn't need much more enthusiasm than it already has. According to the Austin American Statesman out the more than 850,000 eligible voters in the county, 97% of them are registered to vote. A little context:
• In 2016, Trump's share of the Travis County vote was 27.4%• In 2018, Ted Cruz's share of the Travis County vote was 24.6%• In 2018, Greg Abbott's share of the Travis County vote was 30.4%• In 2018, the Travis County portion of TX-10 gave Mike Siegel a gigantic landslide-- D+44• In 2018, the Travis County portion of TX-25 also gave Julie Oliver a big fat landslide-- D+30
Last go-round, without the kind of name recognition he has now, Siegel pulled between 72 and 73% of the Travis County vote. He is expected to do far better this time. In fact, private polling shows him neck and neck with McCaul in Bastrop County and significantly increasing his share of the vote in Harris and Waller counties. Now all the momentum is with Siegel. The newest poll shows him leading 94-0 among Democrats while McCaul leads 93-2 among Republicans. The most important number though is among Independents, a cohort that has supported McCaul in the past but now backs Siegel by a phenomenal 54-28%. Yesterday, the first day of early voting in Texas, found gigantic lines in Travis County, with people willing to wait for long periods of time-- mostly to register their disapproval of Trump and his enablers. But don't let anyone tell you Trump doesn't have enthusiasm working for him too. This week at an airplane hangar in a small town in the middle of Florida, Trump fans were rockin' the house. Watch: In 1978, when the Village People released Cruisin', Trump was 32, a NYC club rat whose after-dark headquarters was often Studio 54, where he was seen hob-sobbing with crooked local politicians, minor celebrities, hookers, drug dealers and, most of all, mobsters. Now a smash hit among the MAGA crowd, "YMCA," the double-entendre single from the album, was more than just the theme song for Trump's favorite disco. It was also the theme song for the gay movement of the 1970s. Nice to see that the 300 pound Trump, a very picture of lack of physical grace-- and still sick with COVID-- remembers how to shake his lard ass to the gayest song ever written (even though he was always seriously on the make and never actually danced at the disco).
