We're looking forward to the 2020 congressional races. By next week we're expecting more candidates to jump in. Several, in fact, haven't stopped working since November 6. These two lists of districts show seats that are now safely blue and seats that are so close that Democrats are almost assured taking them-- especially with Trump at the tope of the ticket, like a giant, squawking albatross around the necks of every Republican candidate, especially the ones who can be shown to have enabled him, like Chris Collins (NY), Don Bacon (NE), Rob Woodall (GA) and Rodney Davis (IL).Of the 43 districts that flipped from red to blue 9 were resounding enough wins to indicate that these districts are now out of reach for Republican Party candidates-- at least until the Democrats start screwing up and not delivering on the promises that made voters turn out for them
• PA-05Mary Scanlon- 198,639 (65.2%)Pearl Kim- 106,075 (34.8%)GOP deficit- 30.4%• PA-06Chrissy Houlahan- 177,704 (58.9%)Greg McCauley- 124,124 (41.1%)GOP deficit- 17.8%• NJ-11Mikie Sherrill- 183,684 (56.8%)Jay Webber- 136,322 (42.1%)GOP deficit- 14.7%• CA-49Mike Levin- 166,453 (56.4%)Diane Harkey- 128,577 (43.6%)GOP deficit- 12.8%• PA-17Conor Lamb- 183,162 (56.3%)Keith Rothfus- 142,417 (43.7%)GOP deficit- 12.6%• VA-10Jennifer Wexton- 206,356 (56.2%)Barbara Comstock- 160,841 (43.8%)GOP deficit- 12.4%• MN-03Dean Phillips- 202,404 (55.7%)Erik Paulsen- 160,839 (44.3%)GOP deficit- 11.4%• CO-06Jason Crow- 187,639 (54.1%)Mike Coffman- 148,685 (42.9%)GOP deficit- 11.2%• PA-07Susan Wild- 140,813 (53.5%Marty Nothstein- 114,437 (43.5%)GOP deficit- 10%
And as for the Republicans who held on by the skin of their teeth and who are now walking around with big targets on their backs, these five are in the category of dead men walking:
• GA-07Rob Woodall- 140,430 (50.1%)Carolyn Bourdeaux- 140,011 (49.9%)blue deficit- 0.2%• NY-27Chris Collins- 140,146 (49.1%)Nate McMurray- 139,059 (48.8%)blue deficit- 0.3%• TX-23Will Hurd- 103,285 (49.2%)Gina Jones- 102,359 (48.7%)blue deficit- 0.5%• IL-13Rodney Davis- 136,516 (50.4%)Betsy Londrigan- 134,458 (49.6%)blue deficit- 0.8%• NE-02Don Bacon- 126,715 (51.0%)Kara Eastman- 121,770 (49.0%)blue deficit- 2.0%
And this is a very nice-- if sorely incomplete-- graphic that I found on Twitter early this morning. It could be a helluva lot longer, don't you think? Next year it will be, of that I am certain.
