Science, uncertainty and advocacy
by Judith Curry
I’m attending an interesting conference in Nottingham: Circling the square: universities, the media, citizens and politics.
Uncertainty
Driving in the dark
by Judith Curry
Long-term strategies should be built not on “visions” of the future but instead on the premise that longer term predictions (that is, forecasts of situations years and decades out), however presently credible, will probably prove wrong. – Richard Danzig
Improving climate change communication: moving beyond scientific certainty
by Judith Curry
A new report from The University of Nottingham looks at whether climate scientists threaten their own scientific credibility when trying to make their research accessible to members of the public.
Stalking the uncertainty monster
by Judith Curry
Its time to check in with the Climate Uncertainty Monster.
We are all confident idiots
by Judith Curry
Stumbling through all our cognitive clutter just to recognize a true “I don’t know” may not constitute failure as much as it does an enviable success, a crucial signpost that shows us we are traveling in the right direction toward the truth. – David Dunning
Cognitive bias – how petroleum scientists deal with it
by Peter Rose
Everyone complains about the Weather but nobody does anything about it!
Bertrand Russell’s 10 commandments
by Judith Curry
Here is some more help for climate scientists suffering from pre-traumatic stress syndrome.
Lewis and Curry: Climate sensitivity uncertainty
by Judith Curry
Our new paper on climate sensitivity is now published.
Why scientists should talk to philosophers
by Judith Curry
The divorce between philosophers and scientists is fairly recent. Its time for a reconciliation.
IPCC and treatment of uncertainties
by Judith Curry
A new review paper on the IPCC and treatment of uncertainties.