by Judith Curry
We survey the rationale and diversity of approaches for tuning, a fundamental aspect of climate modeling which should be more systematically documented and taken into account in multi-model analysis. – Hourdin et al.
by Judith Curry
When it comes to climate change, the procedure by which experts assess the accuracy of models projecting potentially ruinous outcomes for the planet and society is surprisingly informal. – Michael Oppenheimer
by Judith Curry
Bringing uncertainty to the public debate or putting the credibility of climate science at risk matters less to them than interest groups misusing or the public misinterpreting their results. – Senja Post
by Judith Curry
Ergo, we should build down CO2 emissions, even regardless of what climate-models tell us. – Nassim Taleb
Nassim Taleb has posted an essay entitled Climate models and precautionary measures. Its short, reproduced in its entirety below (in italics), interspersed with my comments:
by Judith Curry
The most savage controversies are those as to which there is no good evidence either way. -Bertrand Russell
by Marcia Wyatt
This past summer I was asked to give a presentation on science and ethics. The person who asked me was motivated by the Pope’s encyclical, the comments regarding climate change.
by Judith Curry
Any attempt to impose agreement will “promote confusion between consensus and certainty”. The goal should be to quantify uncertainty, not to remove it from the decision process. – Willy Aspinall
by Judith Curry
Doubt and Certainty in Climate Science is an important new book that everyone should read. And its free.
by Judith Curry
Climatic Change has a new special issue: Managing Uncertainty Predictions of Climate Change and Impacts.
by Judith Curry
How to gain clarity when making decisions in uncertain and complex situations.
