Heralding the Rise of Russia-Russo-Armenian Relations, Eurasian Geopolitics and Combating Western Globalism. This blog has many geopolitical articles. Always enlightening. Perhaps controversial? Depending on your own thoughts, feelings and knowledge regarding geopolitical situations. The analysis on Syria is very good. Heralding the Rise of Russia is in the blogroll should you wish to continue checking them out! Syrian Conflict: A Brief Military Analysis - June, 2013An excerpt from a lengthy, but well worth reading entirely post, from this blogger:
-With momentum on their side, Bashar Assad's Russian and Iranian backed government is clearly on the march now. The geostrategic balance of the region may be on the verge of a historic change. We are thus at a crucial juncture in the Middle East today. The West and the Zionist state is on the verge of a major political defeat in Syria. They have to take this to the next level if they are to derive anything positive out of this situation. And therein lies the danger, in my opinion. Knowing how important it is for them to defeat Bashar Assad's government, what will they do if faced with defeat? What will they do to curb the growing political and military might of Syria, Hezbollah, Iran and Russia in the region. After all, isn't destroying the Hezbollah in Lebanon, toppling the Alawite regime in Damascus, toppling the regime in Tehran and containing Moscow's political resurgence in the region what the Battle for Damascus is all about.
Assad on the march
I hope Assad's victory in Qusayr will not be the end of it. I hope Syria will be turned into a killing-field where Western/Turkish/Saudi backed Islamist terrorists and their supporters are slaughtered en masse for the good of all humanity. It's comforting to know that large numbers of Libyans, Saudis, Turks, Chechens and Azeris have already been killed by Syrian forces. The following is an Azeri who with any luck will also be meeting, or may have already met "Allah" -Syria - Azerbaijani terrorists fighting alongside Al-Qaeda: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZCn7zk9fEYMore on Azeri nationals being funneled into Syria to carry-out acts of terrorism -
Report: Terrorist Groups in Syria Recruiting Azeri Nationals: http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=9202240964It's not only Islamic vermin from the region that are fighting to overthrow Assad's government. Syrian forces have again shot dead several westerns in Syria. One of the dead was an American woman. Jew-led, propaganda outlets in the US such as CNN portrayed the 33 year old white-trash from Michigan as one who fell in love with a Muslim, converted to Islam, then went to Syria "to help". From the looks of it, the bitch in question was most probably in Syria to gather military intelligence for Al-Qaeda. So, yeah, she was there to "help" -
Nicole Lynn Mansfield Killed (CIA agent?): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CABFy9X_DYkNeedless to say, Bashar Assad's decisive successes on the battlefield in Syria as well as on the international political stage in recent months has profoundly angered Western powers. Will Syria be one of the West's major geopolitical defeats; one much worst than their 2008 defeat in Georgia? From the looks of it, it surely has the potential to be so. And with Syria's "opposition" as fragmented, disorganized and troublesome as ever, Assad's antagonists are now panicking.Jewish-led, propaganda outlets of the American empire have been particularly rabid. If you want to see the degree of their anger and desperation, read the following lies, hypocrisy, half-truths, double-talk, political spin and hate speech by the Wall Street Journal -
Assad on the March: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323855804578511472022878216.htmlDue to their recent setbacks in Syria, Western powers have decided to finally end diplomatic formalities by officially paving the way for providing Islamic terrorists in Syria with offensive weapons. And speaking of offensive weapons, one of the West's most offensive action was the sending of the warmongering-Washingtonian-reptile named John McCain to meet with cannibals in northern Syria. Having obviously been quite satisfied with the Al-Qaeda affiliated vermin his government is allied to, John McCain is now calling for providing terrorists in Syria with heavy weaponry -
McCain: Syrian rebels need heavy weapons: http://www.timesofisrael.com/mccain-syrian-rebels-need-heavy-weapons/
Mind you that their declarations about arming terrorists are merely symbolic. Western powers have already been arming Syria's foreign-backed Islamic terrorists via regional conduits such as Turkey, Lebanon, Qatar, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and Jordan for the past two years. Nevertheless, the recent calls by Western officials to directly arm Syria's Islamic terrorists with heavy weaponry has solicited an angry reaction by Moscow. Immediately after the Western world's unholy intentions were made public, Moscow revealed that Syria will indeed be receiving S-300 surface-to-air missile systems, upgraded Mig-29 Ms, as well as additional supplies of the Yakhont anti-ship cruise missiles already in Assad's arsenal. The S-300 is a highly capable surface-to-air missile system that can engage multiple aerial targets (including cruise missiles and ballistic rockets) deep inside Israeli or Turkish airspace; the Yakhont is a supersonic, anti-ship cruise missile that can hit naval targets hundreds of kilometers out into sea; the M variant of the Mig 29 is specifically designed for electronic warfare. These types of modern weapons platforms are crucial in effectively combating conventional militaries on the modern battlefield.
S-300 as a psychological weapon
As mentioned above, the S-300 anti-aircraft missile system can engage aerial targets deep inside enemy territory. Although very capable if properly operated by well trained and experienced crews, the Soviet era S-300 is not invincible. Moreover, the S-300 has never been tested in combat, much less in a very messy and unpredictable combat environment such as the one that currently exists in Syria. What's more, the S-400 (an up-to-date version of the S-300 that is currently not for export) is much more capable.
With the utilization of proper electronic countermeasures and good intelligence, a well coordinated, surprise air strike against S-300 batteries can put them out of action in a relatively short period of time. However, the S-300's capabilities - at least on paper - are impressive enough to scare Western and Israel military planners. At the very least, the S-300 in Syrian hands will force nations such as Israel and Turkey to spend a lot of resources in attempting to defend their air space from a Syrian attack.Nevertheless, the S-300 has been primarily used as a psychological weapon; a way to discourage further aggression against Syria, such as an invasion by conventional military forces. As a result, the S-300 has been been used as a serious bargaining chip for Moscow, and they have thus far been able to use it to great effect in negotiations over Iran and now Syria. From a Russian perspective, there is another aspect the S-300 equation: What if Moscow goes forward with its delivery of the S-300 to Syria and the misiles get destroyed in a surprise attack by Israel or NATO? If the aforementioned antagonists manage to defeat this much-touted air defense system in Syria it would be a very major blow to Moscow's prestige. Such a strike would also render using such weapons systems as a bargaining chip in future negotiations all but useless. Such an attack also has the potential of putting Russian military personnel in harms way. If out of desperation NATO or Israel carries out a military strike and Russians get killed as a result, would Moscow be ready to handle such a situation? Because the S-300 has become a very effective psychological weapon for Moscow, I don't see Russian officials going out of their way to change that situation any time soon. In my opinion, Moscow would much rather scare Assad's enemies with the S-300's potential than have it haphazardly exposed to the unpredictable battlefields of Syria. Having said, I do think that once the fighting stops in Syria Moscow will go ahead and install the S-300 as part of a larger, comprehensive and integrated air defense system. If interested, several news reports pertaining the aforementioned weapons can be read on this page.Moscow is in Syria for the long termUltimately, there are two reasons why Bashar Assad's enemies have not (as of yet) attempted to invade Syria: The first reason is their fear of Moscow's and Tehran's reactions to such an aggression; the second reason is their fear of the Syrian military's fighting potential in a conventional war. Therefore, as long as the aforementioned two parameter of deterrence are maintained in a cohesive manner, the regime in Damascus may survive after all. Russian arms and Moscow's actions will therefore be decisive in whether or not Bashar Assad survives the Battle for Damascus.With the appearance of Russian-made arms in the Levant, NATO and Israeli naval ships in the eastern Mediterranean are all of a sudden vulnerable to modern, anti-ship cruise missiles. With the appearance of Russian-made arms in the Levant, NATO and Israeli aircraft are all of a sudden vulnerable to modern, anti-aircraft missiles. These "game changing" arms transfers to Damascus are the reasons why Syria has been spared an invasion by conventional forces and reason why the Zionist state, which has enjoyed total military supremacy in the region is deeply concerned. Incidentally, Tel Aviv's concern was very evident recently when it chose to remain over Lebanese air space when carrying-out their missile attacks against military targets inside Syria.As I mentioned in my previous commentary, the provisions of highly capable, modern weapons systems is a strong indicator that Moscow is in Syria for the long-term and that it believes Bashar Assad's regime will survive. This is very important. Going forward, knowing that a political heavyweight is fully behind it is a crucially important psychological factor for Damascus. With Moscow and Tehran stopping an invasion of Syria by foreign armies, Assad's government than easily afford to devote all its resources towards crushing its Islamic uprising.
The specter of a world war hangs over us
After all that has transpired in the region in recent years, I believe Moscow is in Syria for the very long term. I personally do not see Moscow abandoning Damascus under circumstances that have been firmly set by recent developments in the region. It's not a secret that Moscow's desire to setup permanent bases in Syria predates the current war. However, geostrategic factors behind the aggression against Syria may have made Moscow much more determined to preserve their military presence in the region, and may have also pushed Moscow politically and militarily closer to Tehran.
Of course there is more. Take the time to read it.