by Judith Curry How to go from reductionist thinking to action based complexity research. A blog piece at Stockholm resilience entitled Habits of a complex mind summarizes the paper Fostering Complexity Thinking in Action Research for Change in Socio-Ecological Systems. Some context … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry [W]e have a field of sort-of-science in which hypotheses are treated as facts because they’re too hard or expensive to test, and there are so many hypotheses that what journalists like to call “leading authorities” disagree with … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry So, what scientific idea do YOU think is ready for retirement? Please take a moment and think of an answer before reading the rest of this post – I read the article before answering this question, and … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry I confess that I prefer true but imperfect knowledge, even if it leaves much indetermined and unpredictable, to a pretence of exact knowledge that is likely to be false. – Friedrich von Hayek While discussing my recent … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry This list will help non-scientists to interrogate advisers and to grasp the limitations of evidence - William J. Sutherland, David Spiegelhalter and Mark A. Burgman. Nature has published a very interesting comment, titled Twenty tips for interpreting scientific … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry [T]here is a routine confusion between science as a process (the scientific method), and science as an institution. – Ben Pile This thread is motivated by the recent publication of a paper entitled The Subterranean War on … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry Groupthink: A pattern of thought charaterized by self-deception, forced manufacture of consent, and conformity to group values and ethics. Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets, by Roland Benabou, published in the Review of Economic Studies. … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry There is no cost to getting things wrong. The cost is not getting them published. – Brian Nosek, as quoted by the Economist. The Economist has an important article entitled Unreliable research: trouble at the lab, with … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry [G]iving a very high level of confidence requires a check that you’re not confusing the probability inside one argument with the probability of the question as a whole. – NotWrong I spotted this on my twitter feed, … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry Diagnosis: paradigm paralysis, caused by motivated reasoning, oversimplification, and consensus seeking; worsened and made permanent by a vicious positive feedback effect at the climate science-policy interface. In a previous post, I discussed the IPCC’s diagnosis of a … Continue reading →
