by Judith Curry
A few things that caught my eye this past week.
Large reductions in solar energy production due to dust and particulate air pollution [link]
Towards a new estimate of “time of emergence” of anthropogenic warming – [link]
Melting and cracking – is Antarctica falling apart? [link]
A novel proxy and the sea level rise in Venice, Italy, from 1350 to 2014 [link]
Pronounced differences between observed and CMIP5 simulated multidecadal climate variability in the 20th century. [link]
Carbon dioxide emissions have leveled off, but atmospheric CO2 continues to rise: That’s a problem, and a mystery. [link]
Lightning as a major driver of recent large fire years in North American boreal forests [link]
Precipitation, temperature, and teleconnection signals across the combined North American, Monsoon Asia, and Old World Drought Atlases [link]
Major correction to RSS satellite temp data more than doubles warming since 1998. Now TLT warming faster than land: [link] …
Dependence of drivers affects risks associated with compound events [link]…
Climate change vulnerability for species—Assessing the assessments [link]
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Another paper on OHC by Cheng et al [link]
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The Maritime Continent may be a switchboard for teleconnections between climate systems. [link]
Using global tide gauges to validate/improve representation of extreme sea levels in flood impact studies [link]
When will current climate extremes become average? [link] …
Sea level rise is accelerating, 2.2mm/y in 1993 to 3.3 mm/y in 2014 – mainly due to Greenland melt [link]
STUDY: Antarctic Sea Ice Loss Driven By ‘Natural Variability,’ Not Global Warming [link]
Consensus and discrepancies of basin-scale ocean heat content changes in different ocean analyses [link]
Sea ice trends in climate models are only accurate in models with biased global warming [link]
Strong constraints on aerosol–cloud interactions from volcanic eruptions [link] And Bjorn Steven’s opinion about it [link] …
Antarctic Ice Mass Stable, Recently Published Studies Show [link]
Exxon makes a biofuel breakthrough [link]
New Study Finds Winter Arctic Sea Ice “To Increase Towards 2020” [link]
The influence of autumnal Eurasian snow cover on climate and its link with Arctic sea ice cover [link]
Could geoengineering research help answer one of the biggest questions in climate science? [link]
“ENSO and the recent warming of the Indian Ocean” [link]
Looking at all the ocean basins to understand multi-decadal fluctuations in global warming [link]
Researchers look to the ocean for decadal predictability of NW Europe and #Arctic #climate [link] …
A look at the new Santer et al study on why troposphere warming differs between models and satellite data: [link]
Role of forcings in 20th century N Atlantic multi-decadal variability: 1940-1975 N Atlantic cooling [link]
NatureClimate study looks at global risk of deadly heat [link]
‘Observational Large Ensemble’ to compare observed and modeled temperature trend uncertainty [link]
Relative importance of radiative and dynamical heating for tropical tropopause temperatures [link]
Abrupt North Atlantic circulation changes in response to gradual CO2 forcing in glacial climate [link]
Apparent limitations in ability of CMIP5 climate models to simulate recent change in surface T [link]
Assessment of sea ice-atmosphere links in CMIP5 models [link]
Eastward-propagating decadal temperature variability in the South Atlantic and Indian Oceans [link]
Changes in the climatology, structure, and seasonality of northeast Pacific atmospheric rivers [link]
Biospheric feedback effects in a synchronously coupled model of human and Earth systems [link]
New GISS – @MIT study evaluates efficiency of oceans as heat sink, atmospheric gases sponge: [link]
Reconstructing the South Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (SAMOC), an area of limited observations [link] …
Model under-representation of decadal Pacific trade wind trends + link to tropical Atlantic bias [link]
Hiatus‐like decades in the absence of equatorial Pacific cooling and accelerated global ocean heat uptake [link]
International open-access project gathers hindcasts needed to study #SeasonalForecast biases. [link]
Tightened constraints on the time-lag between Antarctic temperature and CO2 during the last deglaciation [link]
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Pacific decadal climate variability: Indices, patterns and tropical-extratropical interactions [link]
Social Science and Policy
Does information matter for completing the 1,000,000 piece climate change jigsaw puzzle? [link] …
A bitter scientific debate just erupted over the future of the American power grid [link]
Peter Gluckman: ‘The changing need for science advice”.[link]…
Risk Analysis When Probabilities are Not Enough https://goo.gl/bH4Tp3
Stranded research? Leading finance journals are silent on climate change [link]
The role of ‘standards of evidence’ in ‘evidence for informed policy making [link]
Pierrehumbert: The trouble with geoengineers hacking the planet [link]
Why agribusiness knowledge of climate diverged from scientific [link]
Political commitments disable our critical faculties – and the smarter you are, the worse the damage [link]
About Science
Academics strike back against bad science [link]
Pressure to publish in journals drives too much cookie-cutter research [link]
David Spiegelhalter: Exaggerations threaten public trust in science [link]
Is the staggeringly profitable business of scientific publishing bad for science? [link]
Evidence based medicine manifesto for better healthcare [link]
‘Beware the Rise of the Post-Factual Expert’. [link] …
“An epistemic pluralist claims that …there are many different but equally valuable ways of interrogating reality.” [link]
Uncertainty analysis comes to integrated assessments [link]
Fascinating piece on the nature of time by @ProfRayTallis; [link] …
A debate over the physics of time [link]
Empty rhetoric over data sharing slows science [link]