- A guest post by emorejahongkongCore question for Berners to flesh out and spread to Warren-land: “Can Professor be Student of Her Own Mistakes?”A. History: Warren was a newbie, in electoral politics, who allowed herself to be persuaded that:
1- If Warren’s profile as a female Bernie-lite could peel off 1/3 of Bernie’s supporters,2- Then a grateful establishment would support Warren and her 1/4 loaf of Bernie-style reforms (mainly of abusive lending-cum-bankruptcy on which Warren is an expert).
B. Now, Warren has personally experienced the shameless fraudulence of predicted establishment gratitude:
1- Warren's MSM friends gave her no cover for her gymnastic avoidance of fully echoing Bernie’s honesty that “middle class taxes will rise BUT much less than premiums, co-pays and deductibles, etc. will fall”;2- Warren received no endorsements from centrist candidates who have withdrawn or (notably Booker and Harris) are deferring their inevitable withdrawals largely in order to hedge bets on who inherits their endorsers;3- Warren is now targeted by new establishment candidacies from Michael Bloomberg and Deval Patrick (Patrick’s single most predictable impact is undermining Warren in New Hampshire and Massachusetts, and, perhaps unlike Bloomberg, could not possibly have entered the race if many establishment figures had told him “we must honor the deal we made with Warren for her to divide Bernie’s base”).
C. Learn-able lessons (for Prof. Warren):
1- Establishment will never honor any deal that surrenders even 1/4 of its gravy trains.2- “Time for a Woman” rhetoric out of establishment is 100% fraudulent, unless a particular Woman is 100% loyal to establishment.
D. Choices: Stay Senator in Massachusetts vs. ride Bernie train to DC?
1- Statewide office elections in Massachusetts will get much uglier as Warren-endorsing Joe Kennedy pursues his 2020 challenge to Warren-endorsed incumbent U.S. Senator Ed Markey, and then Warren-endorsing Cong. Rep. Ayanna Pressley rushes to grab higher office before her weathervane core becomes more obvious to more voters.2- On the ideological spectrum in Massachusetts, Warren will be squeezed in crossfire between Left (Markey and Berners), Right (Joe Kennedy and Seth Moulton) and Center (starting with weathervane Ayanna Pressley and Warren-sabotaging vulture-capitalist Deval Patrick).3- Warren must be wondering how to escape this snake-pit-- not what she signed up for in her late-career first candidacy drafted by virtually all Democratic factions agreeing to leverage Warren’s name recognition to oust popular Republican incumbent Senator Scott Brown.4- Warren's clearest escape path to DC would be as Secretary of the Treasury, an appointment she could only receive from President Bernie. (BTW, Warren is not an attractive VP running mate for Bernie under the key calculation of strengthening his general election ticket by delivering more states in the electoral college). Serving as Treasury Secretary, besides enabling Warren to refocus on her core competencies, would give her the last laugh against the Obama appointees such as Tim ("foam the runway") Geithner and Larry ("insiders don't criticize insiders") Summers, who have clearly played a role ensuring that no deal with candidate Warren would ever be honored by big money elites.
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