by Judith Curry Best practices in adapting to sea level rise use a framework suitable for decision making under deep uncertainty. This post is the third (and final) part in the series on New Jersey sea level rise: Climate adaptation … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry How did the state of New Jersey come to adopt sea level rise projections for their adaptation planning that are more than twice as high as the IPCC’s values? Part I introduced the challenges facing New Jersey … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry On the misuse of science and scientific authority. The latest issue of The Breakthrough Journal is a tour de force. Excerpts from the Introduction to the issue: <begin quote> Donald Rumsfeld famously opined on the problems of … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry “Avoid unwarranted certainty, neat narratives and partisan presentation; strive to inform, not persuade.” I just spotted this Comment in Nature: Five rules for evidence communication. Once I spotted co-author David Spiegenhalter, I knew this would be good. … Continue reading →
The scientific method remains the best way to solve many problems, but bias, overconfidence and politics can sometimes lead scientists astray It’s been awhile since I have been so struck by an article that I felt moved to immediately do … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry Crowd sourcing examples of fallacious thinking from climate science. While I have been very busy, I have kept the Denizen’s entertained with threads on politics and cancel culture. Lets face it, that stuff has been on all … Continue reading →
A Prayer in the Time of Pandemic
Affirming spirituality as the power over life and death I aspire to achieve
this spirituality that is nothing other than the blending of love and mystery
cherishing wonder at a precarious precipice, respecting knowledge
prayer seemed a weakening of spirit, a reaching out to the void, pretending
that there was someone there ready to respond, a metaphysical crutch in times of need
by Judith Curry Some articles I’ve flagged, plus emails I’ve received. Here are some articles I’ve flagged for discussion; I am not personally endorsing anything here: Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance NYT: Harsh Steps Are Needed to Stop the … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry My thoughts on coronavirus and deep uncertainty. I and my family are in isolation, in relatively comfortable, well-stocked and in safe circumstances (solar power with Tesla power wall). My community (Reno NV) has relatively few cases and … Continue reading →
by Judith Curry
A range of scenarios for global mean surface temperature change between 2020 and 2050, derived using a semi-empirical approach. All three modes of natural climate variability – volcanoes, solar and internal variability – are expected to act in the direction of cooling during this period.
