Pennsylvania
If Lamb Wins Tomorrow, The DC Dems Will Walk Away With The Wrong Lesson... As Usual
Tomorrow is election day in PA-18-- an election in a dismal district that will cease to exist immediately after the votes are counted. Whomever wins-- a shit Democrat (Conor Lamb) or a shit Republican (Rick Saccone)-- will have to run in a different district in November... and PA-18 is divided between a really red district for Saccone and a competitive district leaning blue either for Lamb or, hopefully, a better Democrat. Lamb is a Blue Dog who defines what it means to be a political coward.
A Lot Could Happen Between Now And November, But Chances Are Good That They Will All Conspire To Make The GOP Lose Even More Seats
If this guy can win next week, any Democrat can win in NovemberThe special election to replace Tim Murphy in PA-18-- southwest Pennsylvania, including the suburbs south of Pittsburgh-- is a week from today. It's a very red district. McCain beat Obama 55-44%, Romney beat Obama 58-41% and then Trump eviscerated Clinton 58.1% to 38.5%. The PVI is R+11, beyond what a Democrat can win, even in a wave election.
Next Month Don't Bet On Conor Lamb Doing As Well As Jon Ossoff Did
Which one's the Democrat and which one's the Republican?As you've probably noticed, I think Conor Lamb's campaign is a train wreck.
Pennsylvania Just Got Ungerrymandered. Here's How That Looks For November
Nate Cohn's analysis of the new Pennsylvania congressional boundaries for the NY Times is very well-done.
Is A Republican-Lite, Pro-NRA Approach Sometimes Needed For A Democrat?
Friday morning's post, How Many Pro-NRA Candidates Is The DCCC Trying To Sneak Into Congress This Cycle? Way Too Many, dealt with the Blue Dogs and New Dems from the Republican wing of the Democratic Party who: