Larry Sabato

The first time I recall ever having heard of Jennifer Horn was in 2008 when she ran for Congress against Paul Hodes (D-NH). In 2011 the very conservative Horn was elected chair of the New Hampshire Republican Party.

Two COVID records for one-day case increases were broken Wednesday: the U.S. hit its highest number ever-- 51,097, it's first day over 50,000 (although yesterday that mark was topped again, this time with 57,236 new cases)-- and Texas increased by 8,240 cases, more than any country in the world other than the U.S., Brazil or India. Trump and Texas Governor Greg Abbott, and Lt. Gov.

The November Emerson poll was released yesterday. The polling shows Bernie and Status Quo Joe tied for first place in the Democratic Primary, with only Elizabeth Warren as another viable candidate.

Yesterday, Adam Smith quoted a Florida political insiders and operatives in a piece he did for the Tampa Bay Times about Señor Trumpanzee's impact on the Republican Party in the state. Democrats were jubilant and independents sounded like Democrats.

As we noted on Tuesday, the PA-18 special election 4 days from now, should be easy-peasy for the GOP. But they're on track to spend 40 times more money on this race than the Democrats! The PVI is R+11 and it's a district where McCain beat Obama 55-44%, Romney beat Obama 58-41% and then Trump eviscerated Clinton 58.1% to 38.5%.

Can Democrats take back the House next year? Yes-- if they have more candidates like Randy Bryce and fewer "ex"-Republicans like the CA-39 Lottery WinnerLast Friday we talked about how progressives are winning special elections in red areas of New Hampshire. Tuesday it happened again.

During the campaign Trump fared poorly when he tried interfering with Republican primaries. His crackpot candidates all lost. He endorsed and cut radio spots for Renee Ellmers (R-NC), the first woman in Congress to endorse him. Despite his help-- possibly because of it-- she barely managed to come in second in her three-way primary.

Yesterday Trumpy the clown left the campaign trail to fly to his failing golf course in Scotland, driven soley by his business interests and unrelated for his crashing-and-burning presidential campaign.