Week in review – science edition

by Judith Curry
A few things that caught my eye this past week.

“The study’s authors estimate groundwater depletion in the United States could be responsible for releasing 1.7 million metric tons (3.8 billion pounds) of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere every year.”[link]
Bleached coral in Barrier Reef may be coming back from the dead http://www.news.com.au/technology/environment/climate-change/eggs-discovered-in-bleached-coral-birth-new-hope-for-great-barrier-reef/news-story/4fd45204f25e9d8c98e5226b678afa31#.8n1mz …
The remarkable cognitive dissonance of an adamant conclusion on the climate change mitigation reached from inconclusive hurricane data. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wea.3190/full …
A Census of Atmospheric Variability From Seconds to Decades: our new open-access article is published today in Geophysical Research Letters.  http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL075483/full …
Needs for climate model development [link]
Past greenhouse episodes may have been linked, in part, to degassing of CO2 from continental rifts https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-017-0003-6 …

Some thoughts on the mind-bending physics of sea level rise, as captured yet again by @NASA scientists at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2017/11/15/these-are-the-melting-glaciers-that-might-someday-drown-your-city-according-to-nasa/ …

 The 2017 climate assessment of the #Arctic (SWIPA) is available  – includes topics ranging from permafrost to snow cover to ice Open access at http://www.amap.no/documents/doc/snow-water-ice-and-permafrost-in-the-arctic-swipa-2017/1610 …
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Differing #ClimateModels show lingering uncertainty about how well oceans will absorb #CO2. http://bit.ly/2yBzkvu 

Although the Southern Ocean occupies only 20% of total ocean area, it absorbs three-quarters of the heat taken into the oceans, and approx half of the CO2 http://bit.ly/2f4Odla
New Antarctic heat map reveals sub-ice hot spots [link]
Nutritional and greenhouse gas impacts of removing animals from US agriculture [link]
Kerry Emanuel: Texas is now six times more likely to see huge, hurricane-related flooding than it was in the 1990s. [link]
Sea level rise in the Indian Ocean increases as monsoon circulation weakens & heat transport decreases. [link]
Steve McIntyre: updated discussion of climate models vs observations: are models running too hot or not? https://climateaudit.org/2017/11/18/reconciling-model-observation-reconciliations/ …
Methane leaks from fossil fuel extraction play bigger role than previously thought [link]
Sea level rise in the Indian Ocean increases as monsoon circulation weakens & heat transport decreases. [link]
New VICS publication by Matthew Toohey and Michael Sigl on volcanic stratospheric sulfur injections and aerosol optical depth from 500 BCE to 1900 C https://www.earth-syst-sci-data.net/9/809/2017/essd-9-809-2017.html …
NASA: volcanic magma plume under Antarctica may explain ice sheet instability http://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/11/07/nasa-volcanic-magma-plume-under-antarctica-may-explain-ice-sheet-instability/ …
Spatial and temporal analysis of drought variability at several time scales in Syria during 1961–2012 https://buff.ly/2ywieTN 
A 2000-Year Temperature History of China’s Animaqin Mountains http://www.co2science.org/articles/V20/feb/a15.php …  No unusual warming past 150 years.
On the Possible Contribution of Natural Climatic Fluctuations to the Global Warming of the Last 135 Years [link]
Rebecca Frew has written a great blog post on sea ice and how complex sea ice models need to be! https://thesocialmetwork.wordpress.com/2017/11/03/sea-ice-is-complicated-but-do-sea-ice-models-need-to-be/ …
Sea-ice dynamics for beginners!  http://blogs.egu.eu/divisions/cr/2017/11/03/image-of-the-week-sea-ice-dynamics-for-beginners/ …
A new method to evaluate overall performance of a climate model http://bit.ly/2iq7MCH 
ASA satellite study shows that last year’s spike in CO2 resulted from El Nino-induced heat & drought in tropics [link]
Why are teleconnections important? Read a new review article and Q&A https://eos.org/editors-vox/tropical-teleconnections?utm_source=eos&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=EosBuzz102717 …
New research shows multidecadal oscillation of Southern Ocean polynyas, a release valve for the ocean’s heat https://usclivar.org/research-
Settling of the Americas in the midst the Little Ice Age [link]
US Nat. Acad. Sci. release report on Sustaining Ocean Observation to Understand Future Changes in Earth’s Climate https://goo.gl/2uXgek 
Life Under the Polar Ice: A team of Georgia Tech scientists deploys an ocean robot under the Antarctic ice shelf http://ocean.gatech.edu/faculty-news/life-under-polar-ice …

How Iceland is regrowing forests destroyed by the Vikings https://www.optimistdaily.com/?d30e09fb7d8346b455c942a0939cec35=c4ca4238a0b923820dcc509a6f75849b …

 Why the Wine Country Fires Was a Severe Weather Event and Not Climate Change http://dlvr.it/PyRSTJ
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unique role snow has on sea-ice growth in Atlantic sector of #Arctic Ocean http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL075494/full 
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Cold kills 20 times more people than heat [link]
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Social science and policy
what happened (and what didn’t happen) at the Bonn climate talks … http://nyti.ms/2it4OOC 
Even Without Paris Agreement, U.S. Leads World in Declining Carbon Dioxide Emissions — Thanks in Large Part to #Fracking http://www.insidesources.com/without-paris-agreement-us-leads-world-declining-carbon-dioxide-emissions/ …
Democrats are shockingly unprepared to fight climate change [link]
Democrats are shockingly unprepared to fight climate change [link]

The Tao of Chinese climate lunacy… polluted air blocking sun from solar panels installed on lake formed by collapsed coal mine. https://nyti.ms/2hzFcSM 
This is important: Narrowing the Climate Field: The Symbolic Power of Authors in the IPCC’s Assessment of Mitigation

Global CO2 emissions are ticking up, but underlying trends are headed in the right direction. Stock, flow, and intensity https://niskanencenter.org/notes/ 

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Global carbon budget 2017 [link]
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The value of traditional knowledge in the Arctic [link]
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About science and scientists
Roger Pielke Jr on Mark Jacobson’s lawsuit. A litigious climate threatens scientific norms, https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-litigious-climate-threatens-scientific-norms-1510789511 …
response to Cook and Oreskes on climate consensus messaging http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17524032.2017.1392109 …
Single-blind reviewers are significantly more likely than their double-blind counterparts to recommend for acceptance papers from famous authors, top universities, and top companies. http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2017/11/13/1707323114.full.pdf
Merchants of Doubt book review, with extensive excerpts (if you haven’t read it, this is readers digest) https://mhreviews.wordpress.com/2017/11/15/merchants-of-doubt-book-revi…
“Scientific Integrity and Ethics in the Geosciences” http://ow.ly/xlbX30gttKY 
JC note: Apologies for the rough formatting this week, I gave up after several hours.  My right hand is 70% useless (shoulder/nerve problem), this has been going on for 5 weeks.  Fun!

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