Uncertainty

by Judith Curry
“If you want people to believe what you *do* know, you need to be up front about what you *don’t* know.”-  Charles Manski

by Judith Curry
My article Climate Uncertainty and Risk has now been published in the Summer 2018 edition of CLIVAR Variations.

by Judith Curry
A remarkable essay by  esteemed oceanographer Carl Wunsch.

While doing a literature survey for my paper on Climate Uncertainty and Risk, I came across a remarkable paper published in 2010 by MIT oceanographer Carl Wunsch, entitled Towards Understanding the Paleocean.
The paper is remarkable for several reasons — not only  that it was published but that the paper was apparently invited by journal editor.

by Judith Curry
I’ve been invited to write an article on climate uncertainty and risk.

Republicans and Democrats held primary elections in seven states on June 26: New York, Colorado, Maryland, Oklahoma, Utah, South Carolina and Mississippi, the last two states being runoff primaries. Predictions for the November 2018 midterm elections have projected a wave of Democrat victories, perhaps enough to reclaim both the Senate (which only needs two GOP losses) and the House (which needs 30 Democrat victories).
The polling still indicates a likely swing in at least the Senate to Democrat control, but the results of the primaries seem to show something different.

by Judith Curry
In private, climate scientists are much less certain than they tell the public. – Rupert Darwall

by Vincent Randall
A perspective on economists’ grappling with the ‘uncertainty monster.’

by Judith Curry
The many dimensions of the climate uncertainty monster.

by Judith Curry
A major disconnect in the discourse surrounding climate change is interpretation of the ‘threat’ of climate change.

For those shocked by the election result, anger and blame may be convenient ways to make sense of it. But Charles Eisenstein, who predicted Trump’s victory, says that in this time of uncertainty there is an opportunity for empathy to drive a new political storyThe post How the US election result could trigger a society of empathy appeared first on Positive News.