Allgemein

Why does covid-19 appear to be a somewhat strange pandemic? It is because of the covid-19 mortality profile, which is almost identical to natural mortality. Read analysis →

Zur medialen Darstellung der Corona-Krise.
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Among all industrialized countries, the Eastern European nation of Belarus introduced the softest anti-coronavirus measures and even continued its soccer league and military parades. Long-time president Lukashenko famously called the coronavirus a “Western psychosis”. Even coronavirus pragmatics like Sweden looked almost paranoid compared to Belarus.

Contrary to expectations, Africa has so far seen a very low Covid death rate (about 0.01%), with the partial exception of South Africa. While there certainly is substantial underreporting of infections and deaths in Africa, there have been no reports of any overrun health facilities.

In recent weeks, several more prospective and retrospective studies have confirmed the effectiveness of malaria drug HCQ against covid-19, both in primary care and in hospitals, and both in the general population and in nursing homes. The studies typically found risk reductions between 30% and 50% (e.g. reduced hospitalizations, disease duration or mortality).

Many critics believe covid has turned into a mere “casedemic”, as positive tests (“cases”) are rising in many European countries while hospitalizations and deaths stay very low.
The reality is that covid is a casedemic on top of a pandemic. “Cases” are currently rising in Europe due to routine testing at airports, offices, schools and among family contacts, catching mostly younger low-risk people with mild or asymptomatic disease (hence no hospitalizations).

Autumn is approaching in the northern hemisphere, coronavirus antibody prevalence is still low (<5%) in much of previously locked-down Europe and non-urban areas of the US, and authorities in most Western countries still aren’t providing any covid prophylaxis and early treatment guidance.

A new data analysis shows Swedish all-cause mortality since 1851 (see chart below). The covid peak in 2020 is clearly visible and comparable to the strong seasonal flu waves of the 1980s and 1990s (despite a younger population at the time). The much stronger 1918 Spanish flu is also clearly visible.

Approximately 10% of people with symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection report persistent or recurring Covid symptoms for several weeks or months. This notably includes younger and previously healthy individuals, as well as those whose original covid was mild or moderate (without hospitalization).
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Belgium reported the highest Covid mortality in Europe, in part because it always included both confirmed and probable cases. 66% of Belgian excess deaths occurred in nursing homes. Of these, only 27% were confirmed by a PCR test.