States that Trump won is 2016 that look like he'll lose in 2020: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. States that Trump won is 2016 that look like swing states in 2020: Arizona, Iowa, Florida, North Carolina, maybe even Texas, Ohio, Georgia and Indiana. The June Trump state by state tracking numbers look dismal:
On Sunday, Chris Wallace had Kapo Stephen Miller on his show, where he pushed back on Trump's racism by telling Miller that "There’s no question that he is stoking racial divisions," referring to Trump's repulsive lies about The Squad.
Yesterday, House Democrats-- without buy-in from any of the Democrats' conservative establishment leadership-- voted against Al Green's resolution to begin a formal investigation into impeaching Trump by sending his resolution to the Judiciary Committee to die. The Republicans and the Pelosi-faithful voted 332-95 against impeachment.
Thom Tillis is WAY too scared to ever criticize Trump againThere will be a huge focus on North Carolina next year. First of all it's a swing state that Obama won in 2008 and where Trump is underwater in polling now (-3 according to the June Morning Consult update). There's virtually no path to victory for Trump without North Carolina's 15 electoral votes.
Agents of the status quo fear Bernie-- and for good reasonJonathan Chait was back with more crap advice for Democrats yesterday.
Like Trump, Biden can't control his tendency to blatantly lieAlexander Hefter raised some important considerations for the 2020 cycle. Two of the leading candidates, Trump and Biden are compulsive liars.
There were some people who didn’t predict a Democratic takeover of the House in 2018, but they were imbeciles. The Democrats were on the way to benefitting from a strong ant-Trump/anti-Republican wave. There was no blue wave and there’s not likely to be one this cycle either (unless a really inspiring Democratic ticket is on the table— Bernie + Elizabeth Warren, for example).
