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Judith Curry

Judith Curry - 2017-02-21 - Original post - cached version

by Andy West

On the origin of public skepticism and its entanglement with science.

Introduction

Lewandowsky has a habit of raising fundamental truths1 and asking pertinent questions, yet then for the climate change domain turning psychology (and according to analyses his...

Judith Curry - 2017-02-17 - Original post - cached version

by Javier

Dansgaard-Oeschger (D-O) events are the most dramatic and frequent abrupt climate change events in the geological record. They are usually explained as the result of an Atlantic Ocean salinity oscillation paced by internal variability. Available evidence however supports that...

Judith Curry - 2017-02-11 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

In view of recent controversies, numerous criticisms have been made about my ‘role,’ with expectations of things that I ‘should’ be doing.

From twitter:

“I do think JC should take a bigger role in reeling in hoaxers/denialists that use her as a guide.”

...
Judith Curry - 2017-02-11 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Interesting article in The Atlantic, but I’m still trying to figure out what is being ‘denied.’

The Atlantic has an interesting article How the New Climate Denial is Like the Old Climate Denial.  Subtitle: Both are excuses for inaction.

It seems that I am...

Judith Curry - 2017-02-06 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Not surprisingly, John Bates’ blog post and David Rose’s article in the Mail on Sunday have been receiving some substantial attention.

Most journalists and people outside of the community of establishment climate scientists ‘get it’ that this is about the process...

Judith Curry - 2017-02-05 - Original post - cached version

by John Bates

A look behind the curtain at NOAA’s climate data center.

I read with great irony recently that scientists are “frantically copying U.S. Climate data, fearing it might vanish under Trump” (e.g., Washington Post 13 December 2016). As a climate scientist formerly...

Judith Curry - 2017-02-03 - Original post - cached version

“one of the real tragedies that totally distorted the debate over climate change was that it got tied into the solution in a way that if you accepted the first you had to accept the second. And I think that was profoundly wrong.” – Newt Gingrich

At the annual meeting of the National...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-30 - Original post - cached version

by Roger Caiazza

At this time there is quite a bit of noise about potential problems if Scott Pruitt is confirmed to head EPA because he would “hamstring EPA’s authority to set nationwide environmental standards”.

As I understand it he is proposing to cooperate more with the...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-29 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A major disconnect in the discourse surrounding climate change is interpretation of the ‘threat’ of climate change.

Last week I attended the annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society in Seattle.  It was a very good meeting; once the talks are online, I...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-25 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A seismic shift is occurring in a number of federal agencies.

Some headlines from Tuesday:

Trump silences scientists at EPA, USDA  A message sent to EPA staff on Monday prohibits staff from creating press releases, blogs, messages, or any social media...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-21 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Ancient warm period things at bigger than expected sea level rise.  I think they might be drawing the wrong conclusion here? [link]

AGU: EXTREME SPACE WEATHER-INDUCED ELECTRICITY BLACKOUTS COULD COST U.S. MORE...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-21 - Original post - cached version

by Monte Naylor

A comparison of NOAA-computed temperature trends with the “raw” historical temperature data.

The global historical surface temperature record is presented as the fundamental evidence for global warming. The climate divisions of many official agencies such as NOAA...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-17 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

The Social Cost of Carbon is emerging as a major source of contention in the Trump Administration.

Andy Revkin has an article summarizing the issue:  Will Trump’s climate team accept any social cost of carbon?  Excerpts:

But there’s probably no more...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-16 - Original post - cached version

by Clive Hambler

Reflections on the stabilization of Earth’s climate by life.

People frequently believe the claim that basic physics, established in the 19th Century, is sufficient to predict that Earth will warm in response to increasing CO2. However, I argue here that negative...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-14 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A round-up of recent articles from around the world about water — too little, too much, plus new technology and policy ideas.

Too little

Syrian water wars: Damascus still without water as battle for springs enters endgame [link]

SYRIA: Official says...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-10 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Some reflections on my transition from academic climate research to private sector weather forecasting and regional climate change assessments.

I’ve received thousand of emails, tweets, etc. regarding my retirement from Georgia Tech.  Two messages motivated the...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-08 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Fossil leaves bear witness to ancient carbon dioxide levels [link]

Paul Homewood: Two satellite datasets agree: The Pause lives on: ‘No warming for the last 18 years’ [link]

Wood stoves rapidly...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-04 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Two new papers have focused on the quality, uncertainties and  interpretation of global sea surface temperature data.

A call for new approaches to quantifying biases in observations of sea-surface temperature

Elizabeth Kent, John Kennedy, Thomas Smith, Shoji...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-03 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Effective January 1, I have resigned my tenured faculty position at Georgia Tech.

Before reflecting on a range of things, let me start by answering a question that may have popped into your head: I have no plans to join the Trump administration (ha ha).

...

Judith Curry - 2017-01-02 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Michael Liebrich has written an extremely insightful (not to mention clever) article  entitled It’s a new year and time to face reality.

I’m reproducing this in its entirety, since you have to read the whole thing, and then read it backwards.

The world will...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-31 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

2016 was ‘extremely likely’ to have been a memorable year.

Brexit and the election of Donald Trump as U.S. President were the big events of 2016.  Among many other things, these events perhaps herald Skeptical climate scientists come in from the cold.

I’ve...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-31 - Original post - cached version

by David Wojick

The Social Cost of Carbon is absurd but entrenched.

The monster of all climate modeling efforts is the so-called Social Cost of Carbon (SCC). This involves what are called Integrated Assessment Models or IAMs. These models reflect the fact that, from a policy...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-29 - Original post - cached version

by Frank Bosse

Towards eliminating multi-decadal natural oscillations in determination of the Transient Climate Response (TCR) to CO2.

Introduction

In the last few month there have been several posts (see here , here , here, here) addressing the sensitivity of our climate...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-24 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

My very best wishes to all during the holiday season, whatever you might be celebrating.

Here are some holiday cartoons

 

Filed under: Uncategorized

Judith Curry - 2016-12-21 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Too rapid a movement towards a low-carbon economy could materially damage financial stability: a climate Minsky moment — Mark Carney

A recent speech given by Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, entitled Resolving the Climate Paradox.  The whole text of...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-21 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

On sea level rise, President Obama and King Canute.

In 2008, then President-elect Barack Obama said his victory marked “the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow”

So . . . how has that been working out?  Well, the figure below is the latest global...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-18 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

2016 Arctic Report Card Highlights Dramatic Changes in Region [link]

Hottest Arctic Hype: ‘Nothing is actually happening that justifies the apocalyptic headlines’ [link]

Desertification Effects, Causes,...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-17 - Original post - cached version

by Turbulent Eddie

Adjusted USHCN data indicate a decrease in CONUS hot days TMAX >= 100°F

As part of his 2016 testimony to Congress, Dr. John Christy presented this chart:


Figure 1. The average number of 100°F days in the USHCN data set from Christy.

This...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-15 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Guess who the new climate ‘conspiracy theorists’ are?

When I first saw this published in the WaPo, I thought it was a joke: Why I’m trying to preserve federal climate data before Trump takes office.  Excerpts:

Trump is serious about overtly declaring war on...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-12 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Insiders are out; and outsiders are becoming the insiders.

There is much angst among the climate activists and scientist advocates about the Trump presidency, his public statements, and his Cabinet appointees — it doesn’t look good for their preferred energy...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-11 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Analysis of 1930s ‘Dust Bowl’ drought finds heat waves were preconditioned by unusually dry springs [link]

538 by Gavin Schmidt: Why We Don’t Know If It Will Be Sunny Next Month But We Know It’ll Be Hot All...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-09 - Original post - cached version

by David Gattie

The need for pragmatism, stability and resilience in energy policy for the U.S. power sector.

This article was originally posted at Plugged In, David Gattie’s blog on Energy, Environment and Policy.

This is a summary of a paper that will be published in the...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-06 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

On experts, lukewarmers, and unhappy heretics.

Shortly after I started Climate Etc. in 2010, Scientific American published an article Climate Heretic Judith Curry Turns on Her Colleagues. I responded with a blog post Heresy and the Creation of Monsters. Climate...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-03 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

The trappings of science can be decoupled from the actual rigor of science.

The trigger for this post is a recent article in the Atlantic, entitled How Will Trump Use Science to Further His Political Agenda?   The article provides some important insights, that are...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-02 - Original post - cached version

by Kip Hansen

Climate skepticism: a ‘perverse’ effect of ‘actively open-minded thinking’.

Dan M. Kahan and Jonathan C. Corbin, of the Cultural Cognition Project, have a new study titled “A note on the perverse effects of actively open-minded thinking on climate-change polarization...

Judith Curry - 2016-12-01 - Original post - cached version

by Nic Lewis

[W]e estimate that the warming slowdown (< 0.1 K/decade trend beginning in 1998) could persist, due to internal variability cooling, through 2020, 2025 or 2030 with probabilities 16%, 11%, and 6%, respectively. – Knutson et al.

A new paper by Tom Knutson, Rong...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-27 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Defending NASA’s Earth Science Division, in terms that the Trump administration can relate to.

There is much angst in the earth science community (particularly the climate science community) about statements made by President-elect Trump and his advisors.  A good...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-26 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

The Antarctic 2016 sea ice anomalies [link] …

Chill: Antarctic ice is NOT rapidly melting experts say as logbooks from 100 years ago show levels unchanged [link]

Chilling climate revelations from the...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-21 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

The Left has done far more than the Right to set back progress. – John Tierney

John Tierney has written a stunningly insightful piece in the City Journal Magazine:  The Real War on Science.  Read the whole thing.  Here are some excerpts of particular relevance to...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-20 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Urban Heat Island effect  in Hong Kong accounts for most ‘warming’ since 1970 [link] …

While the North Pole warms beyond the melting point, it’s freakishly cold in Siberia [link]

Where Trees Meet Tundra...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-19 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Design with the natural cycle in mind to ensure that carbon ends up in the right places. — William McDonough

Nature has published a provocative essay entitled Carbon is not the enemy (full text available online).  Excerpts:

Carbon has a bad name. 

But...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-18 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Finding common ground in the Age of Trump.

Alan Longhurst sent an interesting article (in French) that was recently published in LeMonde (english translation year-1-of-the-trumpocene).

Here is what caught my attention:

At a time when most scientists...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-14 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

So  . . . what can we expect from the Trump administration on environment/climate/energy?

There is much angst among the ‘greens’ about what to expect.  This is typified by this morning’s headlines from the Huffington Post:

SET TO BOIL:  Trump Racing to Scrap...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-13 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

I have been asked to write an Expert Report on climate models.

***SEE UPDATE

UPDATE:  A final version of the report is attached [climate-models].  Thanks a ton to all who provided comments in the blog post and via email, I have incorporated many of these...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-11 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Jack Stilgoe and Roger Pielke Jr. have written a superb article on the response of scientists to the Trump presidency.

The reactions from scientists about a Trump presidency are predictable: a disaster for the climate and planet, threats to leave the country,...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-09 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A key message of this election is that the power of elites to persuade us has evaporated.

Two days ago, the Washington Examiner had a provocative article Death of Elitism:

The public no longer has faith in big banks or big companies or big government. And...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-07 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Reflections on forecasting hurricanes in light of U.S. landfalling Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew, highlighting the complexities of forecast ensemble interpretation.

A recent issue of the NYTimes Magazine has an article:  Why Isn’t the U.S. Better at Predicting...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-06 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Paul Voosen has written a remarkable article in Science about climate model tuning.

Background

In November 2009 following ClimateGate, I made a public plea for greater transparency in an essay published at ClimateAudit:  On the credibility of climate...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-05 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Nonlinear response of mid-latitude weather to changing Arctic [link]

The Blob is back: what warm ocean mass means for weather and wildlife [link]

The shortfalls of biodiversity [link]

Ancient...

Judith Curry - 2016-11-04 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Countdown to the U.S. Presidential election

I voted last week.

I haven’t had much time this week to check the news or twitter, here are a few articles that I’ve spotted (that aren’t just about the emails):

The case against Hillary Clinton [link]

...

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