FL-11-- Is Taliban Dan's Day Of Reckoning Nigh?

There are 5 counties-- or parts of counties-- within the boundaries of Florida's 11th district north of Tampa: Citrus, Hernando, Lake, Marion and Sumter. Retirees from Indiana, Ohio and Michigan drove down I-75 and settled here, a different breed of the retirees from Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York and New Jersey who drove down the I-95 to Miami-Dade and Broward counties. I-95 brought Democrats; I-75 brought Republicans. FL-11 went for McCain in 2008 (56%), for Romney in 2012 (59%) and in 2016 Señor Trumpanzee beat Hillary 64.8% to 32.5%. The PVI went from R+11 in 2015 to R+15 last year, the 4th most Republican of Florida's 27 congressional districts.

When longtime incumbent Richard Nugent decided to retire, Orlando area Republican Daniel Webster, sensing FL-10 was too blue for him to be reelected in again, moved his political operation (if not his residence) north to the 11th and beat Democrat David Koller 258,016 (65.4%) to 124,713 (31.6%). Koller had run against Nugent in 2014 with similar results, going down 66.7% to 33.3% to Nugent. Daniel Webster feels secure in "his" new district. Despite the numbers, he shouldn't.

Fast-growing Sumter is the reddest county in the district. It was the worst-performing county in the district for Bernie and in the general it gave Trump 68.8% of its votes, his best performance in FL-11. This week, in a review of Alice Marshall's book, The Precinct Captain's Guide to Political Victory, Heather Rabinowitz, a Sumter County Democratic Party Executive Committee member mentioned that she "made this required reading for all of our precinct captains." Why's that a big deal? Remember what happened in Virginia a few weeks ago? It was as if the grassroots made a collective decision to win the House of Delegates, and they astounded the professional pundits by taking seat after seat after seat that was deemed "impossible." The Precinct Captain's Guide to Political Victory was written in Virginia and the precinct level operatives were all reading it. When we hear that precinct captains are reading that book, it tells us that that committee has decided to actually win.

What does that have to do with a district as red as FL-11 and with the notorious Daniel "Taliban Dan" Webster? Some now think that even if Webster finds the cure for cancer and brings peace to the Middle East and even if the Democrats nominate a ham sandwich, the Democrat will have a real shot at winning. And there's been some talk-- I have no inside information here-- that instead of a ham sandwich, FL-11 Democrats are trying to draft Webster's old nemesis, Alan Grayson to run! Grayson-- the absolute master of grassroots campaigning!

Now, Webster isn't likely to resign, even though he is senile, because:

(1)- he has no other way to make $174,000 a year [his top earnings in his family air-conditioning repair shop was $50K, and no lobbying firm would hire him, because he’s an unpopular dope];
(2)- thanks to a very generous pension plan, for every term he serves, his pension goes up $6,000;
(3)- he has no one at home waiting for him but his unfortunate wife, and that’s certainly not much of a draw;
(4)- all of his staff would be out of a job and completely unemployable, just like his home-schooled kids;
(5)- the thought of his running for higher office is laughable.

Webster still hasn't moved anywhere near "his" new district but he's not likely to lose his primary, because... well, he’s a Man Of God, right? Republicans are confident that he'd win the general even if the Democrats nominated Jesus Christ himself. And the possibility that someone will cut through the mental haze that surrounds Webster and inform him that he is suffering from dementia, and should retire? Well, there's a reed of a chance that could happen but, alas, he likely would forget that conversation entirely, five minutes later.

Alice Marshall told me that in August 2004 the Kerry campaign decided that Virginia was unwinnable, and pulled out their staff. But in Fairfax County, where she was chair of the county's voter registration committee, local Democrats decided that Virginia WAS winnable, "and put their collective shoulder to the wheel. We carried Fairfax for John Kerry. He lost the state, because other committees around the state did not make the same decision, but Kerry won Fairfax, in part, because the local committee decided we were going to win and we did not give a damn about the Kerry campaign or the DNC. In 1999 I was chair of the voter registration committee (I was chair twice, 1998-1999 and 2004-2005). That was the year of the Cathy Hudgins vs Bob Dix race for the Board of Supervisors. Bob Dix was an entrenched Republican incumbent, white male in a district that was/is majority white. He was supported by then Congressman Tom Davis, who actively campaigned for him. Dix raised $320,000. Cathy Hudgins had never run for office. Hudgins is African American. She raised $80,000. Hudgins won. Hudgins won for many reasons, not the least of which the Hunter Mill Democratic Committee was tired of losing and decided to win. My voter registration effort played an important role in all that, but by no means decisive. The collective decision on the part of local Democrats was the decisive element. I regard this as the text book example of people having more power than they think. People have more power then they realize."

And in a wave year-- an anti-Trump/anti-GOP tsunami cycle? And if the candidate is Grayson, not Koller again? Last year Webster spent $1,005,000 to Koller's $57,243. This cycle Webster had a campaign war chest of $67,543 as of the September 30 FEC reporting deadline. Grayson's war chest on that day was $501,268. Fingers crossed the Sumter County precinct workers spread The Precinct Captain's Guide to Political Victory to the Democratic precinct workers in Lake, Hernando, Citrus and Marion counties. In retrospect, this seems ahead of its time:

Down With Tyranny

Dear friends of this aggregator

  • Yes, I intentionally removed Newsbud from the aggregator on Mar 22.
  • Newsbud did not block the aggregator, although their editor blocked me on twitter after a comment I made to her
  • As far as I know, the only site that blocks this aggregator is Global Research. I have no idea why!!
  • Please stop recommending Newsbud and Global Research to be added to the aggregator.

Support this site

News Sources

Source Items
Dilyana Gaytandzhieva 12
John Pilger 407
The Real News 367
Scrutinised Minds 27
Need To Know News 1377
FEE 2767
Marine Le Pen 208
Francois Asselineau 25
Opassande 53
HAX on 5July 220
Henrik Alexandersson 423
Mohamed Omar 216
Professors Blog 10
Arg Blatte Talar 37
Angry Foreigner 15
Fritte Fritzson 11
Teologiska rummet 32
Filosofiska rummet 64
Vetenskapsradion Historia 107
Snedtänkt (Kalle Lind) 167
Les Crises 1634
Richard Falk 100
Ian Sinclair 71
SpinWatch 50
Counter Currents 5414
Kafila 320
Gail Malone 31
Transnational Foundation 221
Rick Falkvinge 86
The Duran 6012
Vanessa Beeley 84
Nina Kouprianova 9
MintPress 4219
Paul Craig Roberts 988
News Junkie Post 42
Nomi Prins 21
Kurt Nimmo 191
Strategic Culture 2984
Sir Ken Robinson 16
Stephan Kinsella 58
Liberty Blitzkrieg 765
Sami Bedouin 61
Consortium News 2045
21 Century Wire 2721
Burning Blogger 267
Stephen Gowans 66
David D. Friedman 125
Anarchist Standard 16
The BRICS Post 1435
Tom Dispatch 376
Levant Report 17
The Saker 3152
The Barnes Review 458
John Friend 346
Psyche Truth 146
Jonathan Cook 135
New Eastern Outlook 2826
School Sucks Project 1722
Giza Death Star 1459
Andrew Gavin Marshall 15
Red Ice Radio 556
GMWatch 1654
Robert Faurisson 134
Espionage History Archive 34
Jay's Analysis 652
Le 4ème singe 86
Jacob Cohen 189
Agora Vox 9339
Cercle Des Volontaires 411
Panamza 1500
Fairewinds 103
Project Censored 675
Spy Culture 325
Conspiracy Archive 57
Crystal Clark 11
Timothy Kelly 462
PINAC 1482
The Conscious Resistance 481
Independent Science News 65
The Anti Media 5025
Positive News 820
Brandon Martinez 30
Steven Chovanec 61
Lionel 258
The Mind renewed 205
Natural Society 2391
Yanis Varoufakis 765
Tragedy & Hope 121
Dr. Tim Ball 60
Web of Debt 120
Porkins Policy Review 324
Conspiracy Watch 174
Eva Bartlett 543
Libyan War Truth 268
DeadLine Live 1895
Kevin Ryan 61
Aaron Franz 175
Traces of Reality 166
Revelations Radio News 118
Dr. Bruce Levine 102
Peter B Collins 1280
Faux Capitalism 205
Dissident Voice 9108
Climate Audit 219
Donna Laframboise 320
Judith Curry 1035
Geneva Business Insider 40
Media Monarchy 1851
Syria Report 70
Human Rights Investigation 90
Intifada (Voice of Palestine) 1685
Down With Tyranny 9561
Laura Wells Solutions 17
Video Rebel's Blog 404
Revisionist Review 485
Aletho News 17018
ضد العولمة 27
Penny for your thoughts 2556
Northerntruthseeker 1953
كساريات 37
Color Revolutions and Geopolitics 27
Stop Nato 4556 Blog 2555 Original Content 5859
Corbett Report 2006
Stop Imperialism 491
Land Destroyer 1076
Webster Tarpley Website 873

Compiled Feeds

Public Lists

Title Visibility
Funny Public