by Judith Curry
A few things that caught my eye this past week.
Major uncertainty of estimates of carbon trapped in soil [link]
A Geological Perspective of the Greenland Ice Sheet [link]
Next generation climate models could learn, improve on the fly [link]
Large changes in sea ice triggered by small changes in Atlantic water temperature [link]
Understanding how sudden stratospheric warmings influence tropospheric conditions could lead to better weather forecasts on the ground and in space [link]
Temporal trends in human vulnerability to excessive heat [link]
Sea ice loss surpasses some effects of climate change. Polar amplification could counteract weather patterns shifting toward the poles [link]
Solar cyclic variability can modulate Arctic climate [link]
Ancient trees and climate models to understand past and future drought in Mongolia [link]
“Anticipated changes in flood frequency and magnitude due to enhanced greenhouse forcing are not generally evident at this time over large portions of the United States for several different measures of flood flows.” [link]
Warm Arctic episodes linked with increased frequency of extreme winter weather in the U.S. [link]
ENSO and IOD analysis on the occurrence of floods in Pakistan [link]
Episodic Reversal of Autumn Ice Advance Caused by Release of Ocean Heat in the Beaufort Sea [link]
Cooling Cloud Cycle Caused Global Warming Hiatus [link]
New paper looks at data record of flooding & rain from landfalling US tropical cyclones. “We do not detect statistically significant trends in the magnitude or frequency of TC floods.” [link] …
Tapio Schneider : “Earth System Modeling 2.0” [link] …
Implications of potential future grand solar minimum for ozone layer and climate [link]
The influence of the ocean circulation state on ocean carbon storage and CO2 drawdown potential in an Earth system model [link]
Ice age echoes affect present day sea level rise [link]
Anticipating future Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) 7 eruptions and their chilling impacts. [link] …
The stratospheric pathway for Arctic impacts on midlatitude climate [link]
Reduced Barents–Kara sea ice strengthened atmospheric blocking & warm-#Arctic cold-Siberia signal [link] …
Acre for acre, wetlands can be far more valuable for the climate than rainforests, but rarely receive the same attention or protections. [link]
Arctic sea ice extent is greater now than at any time during the Holocene except during the Little Ice Age. [link]
How does #Venus, a planet similar in size to the Earth, lose heat? This question is at the heart of a long-standing conundrum of how these two planets of similar make up became so starkly different.” [link]
Estimates of present and future flood risk in the conterminous United States [link]
Weakened surface ocean circulation coincides with precipitation during Little Ice Age and is consistent with little-to-no changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation [link]
What can decadal variability tell us about climate feedbacks and sensitivity? [link]
Climate models are burdened decades’ worth of neglected uncertainty. It’s time to treat uncertainty as a primary scientific challenge. [link]
Soil carbon sequestration from grazing that completely offsets the greenhouse gas cost of beef (in the finishing stage). [link]
Emergence from last glacial #climate reinforced by large CO2 out-gassing from breakdown in Southern Ocean stratification: [link]
Social science and policy
The Folly of ‘Magical Solutions’ for Targeting Carbon Emissions [link] …
Why climate polarization? Denialism?–no. Democrats! “Explanations focused on organized… skeptics and ideologically driven motivated reasoning are… insufficient. Instead, Americans may have formed their attitudes by using party elite cues.” [link]
What “revealed preference” tells us about how we really think about climate risk. [link]
Pielke Jr: Donald Trump isn’t waging war on science; he just doesn’t care. [link]
A common sense look at the social cost of carbon [link]
Geoengineer polar glaciers to slow sea level rise [link]
Future of Food series, which includes the environmental case for synthetic fertilizer, how farm intensification could help preserve pasture land, and green ways to harvest fish: [link]
Pielke Jr’s latest climate newsletter [link]
“High housing costs and rising commute times threatens to keep California from achieving its ambitious target of cutting emissions 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030.” [link]
Hot times in the Arctic op-ed by Cecilia Bitz [link]
Reversal of Increasing Tropical Ocean Hypoxia Trends with Sustained Climate Warming [link]
Incisive, thought-provoking piece on the politics and ethics of #geoengineering [link]
What makes humans — and nature — able to withstand adversity? The science of resilience: [link]
What drives continental US hurricane landfall damage on seasonal & longer timescales? New paper from Klotzbach and Pielke Jr [link]
“The Politics of Evidence”[link]
About science and scientists
Engagement should become more about consultation and democracy, and less about the marketing of science. [link]
Studying or seeking wisdom: on the resentment of experts [link]
“Smil has forced climate advocates to reckon with the vast inertia sustaining the modern world’s dependence on fossil fuels.” Meet Vaclav Smil, the man who has quietly shaped how the world thinks about energy [link]
‘White hat’ bias [link]
Universities Should Encourage Scientists to Speak Out about Public Issue [link]
The Rise of the New Bio-Citizen. They invent their own medical products that work better and cost less. [link]
First female Ph.D. in meteorology: Joanne Simpson’s oral history interview from 1989. [link] …
A deluge of papers in a scientific field does not lead to quick turnover of central ideas, but rather to the ossification of canon. [link] …
Kate Marvel: We need courage, not hope, to face climate change [link]
Epistemic insouciance consists in a casual lack of concern about whether one’s beliefs have any basis in reality or are adequately supported by th eavailable evidence. [link]
How to be rational about empirical success in ongoing science: The case of the quantum nose and its critics [link]
A set of very brave women harassed and assaulted at @Harvard‘s Gov dept have come forward as one. Their stories are shocking, and the university’s inaction even more so. [link]
Incivility at work: is queen bee syndrome getting worse? [link]
On the virtue-signaling, outrage & and excommunication that characterises of many contemporary issues [link] …