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Judith Curry

Judith Curry - 2020-07-27 - Original post - cached version

By Nic Lewis

I showed in my May 10th article Why herd immunity to COVID-19 is reached much earlier than thought that inhomogeneity within a population in the susceptibility and in the social-connectivity related infectivity of individuals would reduce, in my view probably very...

Judith Curry - 2020-07-25 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Two important new books to discuss.

Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarm Hurts Us All, by Michael Schellenberger [amazon]   ‘Best Seller’

Schellenberger’s op-ed:  On Behalf of Environmentalists I Apologize For the Climate Scare [link]  originally...

Judith Curry - 2020-07-15 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A change of topic.

I’m running out of steam on COVID-19.  Still collecting articles, we’ll see if i do any more threads on that topic (of course I hope that Nic will have some new analyses for us.)

I’ve written a number of posts on the topic of freedom of...

Judith Curry - 2020-07-07 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Latest roundup of interesting articles.  I’m running out of steam on this topic, here are some random articles I’ve flagged over the last few weeks.

New study in Spain addes evidence against herd immunity [link]

Very good article: Key ingredients of good...

Judith Curry - 2020-06-28 - Original post - cached version

By Nic Lewis

The course of the COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden is of great interest, as it is one of very few advanced nations where no lockdown order that heavily restricted people’s movements and other basic freedoms was imposed. As there has been much comment, some of it ill-informed, on...

Judith Curry - 2020-06-25 - Original post - cached version

by Roland Hirsch

New technologies in mass spectrometry are advancing research in climate science

This is the second of a two-part posting based on a presentation prepared for the American Chemical Society’s National Meeting in March 2020. The meeting was cancelled, but the key...

Judith Curry - 2020-06-23 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye the past 7(!) weeks.

The future of the carbon cycle in a changing climate [link]

Trends in weather ‘pleasantness’ [link]

Misconceptions of global catastrophe [link]

Over 15-30 years, internal variability...

Judith Curry - 2020-06-21 - Original post - cached version

By Nic Lewis

Key points about the recent Nature paper by Flaxman and other Imperial College modellers

1) The transition from rising to declining recorded COVID-19 deaths in the in 11 European countries that they studied imply that transmission of COVID-19 must have reduced...

Judith Curry - 2020-06-21 - Original post - cached version

by Gerald Browning

Climate model sensitivity to CO2 is heavily dependent on artificial parameterizations (e.g. clouds, convection) that are implemented in global climate models that utilize  the wrong atmospheric dynamical system and excessive dissipation.

...

Judith Curry - 2020-06-17 - Original post - cached version

by Roland Hirsch

Mass spectrometry is essential for research in climate science.

Understanding climate requires having sufficient knowledge about past climate and about the important factors that are influencing climate today, so that reliable models can be developed to predict...

Judith Curry - 2020-06-14 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Some interesting articles that I’ve spotted recently.

This is really a fantastic manuscript on what we know today about #COVID19 biology and immunology. https://cell.com/immunity/pdf/S1074-7613(20)30183-7.pdf

Fine COVID19 seroprevalence study in hard-hit...

Judith Curry - 2020-06-09 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Peter Webster’s magnum opus is now published: Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans.

From the blurb on amazon.com:

“This book presents a unique and comprehensive view of the fundamental dynamical and thermodynamic principles underlying the large...

Judith Curry - 2020-06-05 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Interesting papers that I’ve recently spotted

COVID-19 can last for several months [link]

At present, the evidence is pointing tentatively to a chain of person-to-person infections occurring somewhere outside a city before somebody brought the virus to Wuhan...

Judith Curry - 2020-05-29 - Original post - cached version

By Nic Lewis

Introduction

I showed in my last article that inhomogeneity within a population in the susceptibility and infectivity of individuals would reduce the herd immunity threshold, in my view probably very substantially, and that evidence from Stockholm County appeared to...

Judith Curry - 2020-05-20 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Some interesting papers that I’ve spotted over the past week.

New study from S. Korea finds HCQ +AZ (or other antibiotic) significantly reduces time to viral clearance and hospital stay in moderate covid-19 patients compared to both conservative treatment and...

Judith Curry - 2020-05-16 - Original post - cached version

by Andy West

Climate change affirmative responses to all survey questions are culturally determined, and across National Publics related to religiousity.  Cultural attitudes inappropriately push climate policy.

 Introduction

Post one of this series demonstrated a strong...

Judith Curry - 2020-05-14 - Original post - cached version

by Patrick J. Michaels

A new paper finds higher than expected CO2 fertilization inferred from leaf to global observations.  The paper predicts that the Earth is going to gain nearly three times as much green matter as was predicted by the IPCC AR5.

Earlier this month, I posted a...

Judith Curry - 2020-05-10 - Original post - cached version

By Nic Lewis

Introduction

A study published in March by the COVID-19 Response Team from Imperial College (Ferguson20[1]) appears to have been largely responsible for driving government actions in the UK and, to a fair extent, in the US and some other countries. Until that report...

Judith Curry - 2020-05-07 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A roundup of interesting articles on COVID-19.

 

A new, experimental wearable device is capable of catching early signs and symptoms associated with the coronavirus. [link]

Lets have an honest debate about herd immunity [link]

47 old drugs that...

Judith Curry - 2020-05-02 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week — climate science & policy

High climate sensitivity in CMIP6 model not supported by paleoclimate [link]

“Impacts of landscape changes on local and regional climate: a systematic review” Cao et al 2020. https...

Judith Curry - 2020-04-30 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A round up of recent interesting articles

The coronavirus pandemic is steeped in uncertainty, confusion, shifting information, and muddled messages. Here’s a guide to cutting through it all, from @edyong209  [link]

Tests in recovered patients found false...

Judith Curry - 2020-04-28 - Original post - cached version

by Andy West

Explores the contrast between Allied and Core belief in the culture of climate catastrophe, and the relationships of these plus religiosity to Climate Change Activism (XR and Children’s Strikes for Climate). Post 2 of 3.

Introduction

The opening post of this...

Judith Curry - 2020-04-26 - Original post - cached version

By Nic Lewis

The current approach

A study by the COVID-19 Response Team from Imperial College (Ferguson et al. 2020[i]) appears to be largely responsible for driving UK government policy actions. The lockdown imposed in the UK appears, unsurprisingly, to have slowed the growth of...

Judith Curry - 2020-04-24 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

My latest roundup of articles

NY:  first results from a statewide antibody study: 14% [link]

A leaked Chinese study finds no benefit from anti-viral remdesivir in treating COVID-19 patients. https://reason.com/2020/04/23/leaked-study-finds-no-benefit-from-...

Judith Curry - 2020-04-18 - Original post - cached version

by Andy West

Probing the relationship between religiosity globally, and cultural beliefs in the narrative of imminent / certain global climate catastrophe: Post 1 of 3.

Introduction

The main narrative of catastrophic climate-change culture (CCCC) contradicts mainstream (...

Judith Curry - 2020-04-15 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

On the importance of expertise from other fields for COVD19 and climate change.

This post is motivated by a tweet from Steve McIntyre, with comment from Ken Rice:

Here is the link to Annan’s post Dumb and Dumber, its actually quite good.  The money...

Judith Curry - 2020-04-09 - Original post - cached version

By Judith Curry

My latest selection of interesting articles.

We need a COVID-19 vaccine–let’s get it right the first time [link]

Fauci once dismissed concerns of ‘silent carriers’ [link]

Don’t believe the COVID models – that’s not what they’ for [link]

...

Judith Curry - 2020-04-05 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

And now for something different.

A sociological experiment for the Denizens.

Please take the Enneagram personality test (with instinctual variant) and report your results in a comment.

I scored a strong 1 (reformer).  Hard to argue with that

As...

Judith Curry - 2020-04-04 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye these past few weeks.

New research verifies that sea level rise is causing #carbon burial rates to increase on some Florida coasts. [link]

Rare ozone hole opens in the Arctic – and its big [link]

Insights from Earth...

Judith Curry - 2020-04-01 - Original post - cached version

By Nic Lewis

Introduction and summary

A study published two weeks ago by the COVID-19 Response Team from Imperial College (Ferguson20[1]) appears to be largely responsible for driving UK government policy actions. The study is not peer reviewed; indeed, it seems not to have been...

Judith Curry - 2020-03-31 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Time for a new thread.

To kick things off, here are some interesting articles that I’ve spotted recently.

Let me know when you are read for a climate thread, week in review or something.

Its time to face facts, America:  masks work [link]

...

Judith Curry - 2020-03-25 - Original post - cached version

By Nic Lewis

Introduction

There has been much media coverage about the danger to life posed by the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic. While it is clearly a serious threat, one should consider whether the best evidence supports the current degree of panic and hence government policy....

Judith Curry - 2020-03-23 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Some articles I’ve flagged, plus emails I’ve received.

Here are some articles I’ve flagged for discussion; I am not personally endorsing anything here:

Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance

NYT:  Harsh Steps Are Needed to Stop the Coronavirus

...

Judith Curry - 2020-03-19 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

My thoughts on coronavirus and deep uncertainty.

I and my family are in isolation, in relatively comfortable, well-stocked and in safe circumstances (solar power with Tesla power wall).   My community (Reno NV) has relatively few cases and no apparent transmission...

Judith Curry - 2020-03-19 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A thread devoted to technical topics, e.g. epidemiology, immunology, treatments.  A more general thread will be coming shortly.

Judith Curry - 2020-03-14 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Discuss.

Judith Curry - 2020-03-07 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Rates of sea level rise along the N. American E. Coast have decelerated in recent decades (5 of 6). SLR rates were “only slightly lower” in the 1700s. Modern sea level rise rates are thus “not necessarily symptomatic of...
Judith Curry - 2020-02-24 - Original post - cached version

by Alan Longhurst

Recipe for Australia’s climate ‘truth bomb’:  dubious manipulations of the historical temperature record, ignorance of the climate dynamics of the Southern Hemisphere, and ignorance of Australia’s ecological and social history.

A correspondent of The Guardian...

Judith Curry - 2020-02-15 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

On the climate sensitivity and historical warming evolurion in recent coupled model ensembles [link]

Greenland’s largest glacier (Jakobshavn) has rapidly thickened since 2016. Thickening has been so profound...

Judith Curry - 2020-02-13 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A range of scenarios for global mean surface temperature change between 2020 and 2050, derived using a semi-empirical approach. All three modes of natural climate variability – volcanoes, solar and internal variability – are expected to act in the direction of cooling...

Judith Curry - 2020-02-11 - Original post - cached version

by Kenneth Fritsch

Identification of significant differences between the historical and future CMIP5 simulations for intrinsic climate sensitivities.

Introduction

There are a number of climate science articles that refer to the potential for climate modelers to select from...

Judith Curry - 2020-02-08 - Original post - cached version

by Peter Lang and Ken Gregory

A new paper ‘Economic impact of energy consumption change caused by global warming’ finds global warming may be beneficial.

In this blog post we reproduce the Abstract, Policy Implications and Conclusions and parts of the Introduction, Results and...

Judith Curry - 2020-02-01 - Original post - cached version

by Alberto Zaragoza Comendador

The IPCC’s First Assessment Report (FAR) made forecasts or projections of future concentrations of carbon dioxide that turned out to be too high.

From 1990 to 2018, the increase in atmospheric CO2 concentrations was about 25% higher in FAR’s Business...

Judith Curry - 2020-01-25 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week

UK Met Office on the Australian fires [link]

Attribution science and the Australian fires [link]

Pielke Jr: The inconvenient facts on Australian bushfires [link]

Another take on Australian bush...

Judith Curry - 2020-01-17 - Original post - cached version

by Ross McKitrick

Challenging the claim that a large set of climate model runs published since 1970’s are consistent with observations for the right reasons.

Introduction

Zeke Hausfather et al. (2019) (herein ZH19) examined a large set of climate model runs published since...

Judith Curry - 2020-01-11 - Original post - cached version

by Frank Bosse

Equilibrium climate sensitivity computed from the latest energy imbalance data.

The Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) is a key issue for estimating climate sensitivity.

If EEI is positive then the Earth’s climate system gains energy; if it’s negative the system...

Judith Curry - 2020-01-09 - Original post - cached version

by Jacques Hagoort

Why the IPCC carbon budgets in SR1.5 are over conservative, and the CO2 reduction pathways are too stringent.

Abstract Carbon Budgets specify the total amount of CO2 that can be emitted before global warming exceeds a certain threshold. Since the introduction of...

Judith Curry - 2020-01-04 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye this past week.

Decadal changes of the reflected solar radiation and the Earth’s energy imbalance [link] Over the 2000–2018 period the Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) appears to have a downward trend of −0.16 ± 0.11 W/m2dec.

...

Judith Curry - 2020-01-01 - Original post - cached version

by Judith Curry

Happy New Year!

An end of year post.  Not that I have much to say at the moment, but I think we need a new thread.

Here are a few ‘end of year’ articles, looking back and looking forward.  I put these forward for discussion, let me know if you have spotted...

Judith Curry - 2019-12-27 - Original post - cached version

by Vaughan Pratt

An alternative perspective on 3 degrees C?

This post was originally intended as a short comment questioning certain aspects of the methodology in JC’s post of December 23, “3 degrees C?”. But every methodology is bound to have shortcomings, raising the possibility...

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